The draft board that shows its work.
Most rankings are a number and a shrug. SetTheEdge is a model you can read. Every factor, every weight, every regression. Public on the methodology page. You see why a player ranks where he ranks, then you decide.
Run it alongside ESPN or Sleeper. The consensus tells you what the room thinks. We show you where the room is off, how far, and why.
One payment. No account. No subscription. Updated through Labor Day weekend.
The glass box
Expand any player and see the math: base projection, o-line effect, schedule, weather, age, the works. Competitors sell you a black box. We hand you the wiring diagram.
Built for draft night
Top 300 with tier breaks, positional sheets, bye weeks on every row, PPR and half and standard with one toggle. Works on your phone in the draft room. Printable PDF if you like paper.
Value and fade flags
We compare the model to live market ADP and mark where the crowd is wrong in both directions. Green means go get him. Red means let someone else pay retail.
The top of the current board
Live sample, PPR scoring. The full board runs 300 deep.
| # | Player | Pos | Bye | Proj pts | ADP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jahmyr Gibbs DET | RB | 6 | 272.5 | 1.5 |
| 2 | Bijan Robinson ATL | RB | 11 | 269.9 | 2.3 |
| 3 | Puka Nacua LA | WR | 11 | 283.9 | 2.9 |
| 4 | Ja'Marr Chase CIN | WR | 6 | 277.5 | 3.9 |
| 5 | Christian McCaffrey SF | RB | 8 | 253.5 | 6.5 |
| 6 | De'Von Achane MIA | RB | 6 | 240.1 | 10.2 |
| 7 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA | WR | 11 | 263.7 | 5.5 |
| 8 | James Cook BUF | RB | 7 | 227.0 | 12.1 |
| 9 | Amon-Ra St. Brown DET | WR | 6 | 241.7 | 6.4 |
| 10 | Saquon Barkley PHI | RB | 10 | 225.9 | 18.8 |
Fair questions
What exactly do I get?
A private link to the full kit: the Top 300 board with tiers and round labels, sheets for QB, RB, WR, TE, DST and K, scannable tier lists per position, value and fade flags against live ADP with the written reasoning behind each call, a round-by-round draft strategy guide, and a printable PDF of all of it plus a one-page cheat sheet for the draft table. PPR, half, and standard, one toggle. Updates every few days through Labor Day, with movement badges showing what changed since the last one.
Where does the data come from?
Public play-by-play and tracking data from the nflverse project, plus market ADP. No scraped expert ranks. The model does its own thinking and shows it.
Why should I trust it?
Do not trust it. Read it. The methodology page lists every factor and weight in the model. If you disagree with a weight, you will know exactly what you are disagreeing with. That is the product.
Why the name?
Ask a defensive coach. Setting the edge means nothing gets outside you. On draft night, that is the whole job.
What if I think a call is wrong?
When we differ from ADP, the reason is on the card. Expand any row. If you read the reason and disagree, trust yourself. That is the point of showing our work.